The University of Adelaide CENTRE FOR AUTOMOTIVE SAFETY RESEARCH

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TitleModelling road accident fatalities in Thailand and other Asian countries
AuthorsKlungboonkrong P, Faiboun N, Woolley JE
Year2018
TypeJournal Article
AbstractModelling was conducted of road accident fatalities (RAFs) in Thailand and other Asian countries. Based on a cross-sectional analysis in 2013, an Asian model of predicted RAFs (per population) as a function of motorization (registered vehicles per capita) was developed. In addition, an Asian RAFs (per vehicles) prediction model was also developed. Increasing motorization corresponded with lower estimated RAFs per 10,000 vehicles. Also, the Thailand RAFs (per population) prediction model was achieved based on the limited time series analysis utilizing the 3 RAFs database sources. The motorization could potentially be adapted to estimate the RAFs per 100,000 population in Thailand. Based on the Thailand RAFs prediction model and the predicted motorization in 2020, the estimated RAFs per 100,000 population will be 3 times greater than the targeted one. This means that Thailand will not be able to achieve the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) for global road safety issues.
Journal TitleInternational Journal of GEOMATE
Journal Volume (Issue)15(52)
Page Range91-98

Reference
Klungboonkrong P, Faiboun N, Woolley JE (2018) 'Modelling road accident fatalities in Thailand and other Asian countries', International Journal of GEOMATE, 15(52), pp 91-98.