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THE UNIVERSITY OF ADELAIDE
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Publication Details

TitleThe effect of demographic changes on road accident fatality rates: Japan 1970-1980
AuthorsMcLean AJ, Heyworth JS
Year1987
TypeJournal Article
AbstractThe effect of changes in the age distribution of the Japanese population from 1970 to 1980 was investigated to determine whether they played a role in the halving of the road accident death rate in Japan during that decade. This was done by applying the 1980 age-specific death rates to a population having the 1970 age distribution in percentage terms. Substantial changes in the percentage of the population in specific age groups during the 1970s resulted in major, but opposing, changes in the overall road accident death rate. When combined with the effect of an increase in the percentage of the elderly in the population, the overall effect of changes in the population distribution on the road accident death rate was negligible. In the absence of other changes, the ageing of the Japanese population is likely to lead to an increase of about 10% in the overall road accident death rate by the year 2000.
Journal TitleAsia-Pacific Journal of Public Health
Journal Volume (Issue)1(3)
Page Range43-48
Page Count6

Reference
McLean AJ, Heyworth JS (1987) 'The effect of demographic changes on road accident fatality rates: Japan 1970-1980', Asia-Pacific Journal of Public Health, 1(3), pp 43-48.